Low Prices, Strong Demand, and the Cracks in the Oil Glut Story

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Oil market analysts initially predicted an oversupplied market in 2026, but strong demand has led to a revision in forecasts, with the International Energy Agency now expecting a 930,000 barrel daily increase in global oil demand.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 85% confidence.

Sentiment
Bullish
AI Confidence
85%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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Almost 100% of oil market analysts see the market as oversupplied this year, just as it was oversupplied last year. The size of the supply overhang, however, matters. Led by the International Energy Agency, a lot of analysts predicted that the overhang at millions of barrels. Then the IEA had to revise its prediction—again. Because demand turned out to be stronger than expected. In its latest Oil Market Report, released earlier this week, the International Energy Agency forecast global oil demand would expand by 930,000 barrels daily in 2026.…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on January 26, 2026.
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