Why this time is not different: The history of geopolitical turmoil finds they usually lead to stock-market gains.

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HSBC believes the US is approaching a 'danger zone' due to geopolitical turmoil, but expects support from the Fed and strong Q4 earnings to cushion the market, indicating it's already oversold.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 75% confidence.

Sentiment
Neutral
AI Confidence
75%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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HSBC thinks the U.S. is close to the ‘danger zone’ but sees support from the Fed and from fourth-quarter earnings, suggesting the market is already technically oversold.

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Original article published by MarketWatch on January 21, 2026.
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