Oil’s Problem Isn’t Iran or Russia — It’s Too Much Oil

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Oil prices have retreated despite rising on the possibility of US strikes on Iran, due to a surplus of crude oil supply exceeding demand, according to Goldman Sachs' revised predictions.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 90% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
90%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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Crude oil prices are in retreat after rising on the possibility of U.S. strikes on Iran. Before the retreat, however, Brent crude and WTI had jumped to the highest in months, countering bearish forecasts for the year—and tearing traders between geopolitics and fundamentals. In fundamentals, the majority of observers and forecasters are unanimous that the supply of crude oil is substantially higher than demand. In fact, Goldman Sachs recently revised its price predictions for 2026, saying it now expected Brent crude to go even lower after…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on January 18, 2026.
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