Basis Trade Has Ballooned to $1.5 Trillion, Morgan Stanley Says

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The basis trade has reached $1.5 trillion, prompting concerns about its potential impact on the market, echoing the 2020 market eruption.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 70% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
70%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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The basis trade has swelled to roughly $1.5 trillion, underscoring the need to closely monitor its size to avoid a repeat of the market eruption seen in 2020, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.

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Original article published by Bloomberg on January 14, 2026.
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