Roebuck: Protests Alone Unlikely to Lead to Regime Change

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US President Donald Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on goods from countries doing business with Iran, increasing pressure on the government in Tehran. Former US Ambassador to Bahrain, William Roebuck, believes protests alone are unlikely to lead to regime change in Iran. This move is part of the US's efforts to escalate pressure on the Iranian government.

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Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

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US President Donald Trump says he's imposing a 25% tariff on goods from countries doing business with Iran, ratcheting up pressure on the government in Tehran. The announcement comes after weeks of mass unrest in Iran, initially sparked by worsening economic conditions, but has increasingly been aimed at the regime. William Roebuck, former US Ambassador to Bahrain and Executive Vice President, Arab Gulf States Institute spoke to Bloomberg’s Horizons Middle East and Africa anchor Joumanna Bercetche on the future of the regime. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Original article published by Bloomberg on January 13, 2026.
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