Trump’s Venezuela Gambit Could Erode OPEC’s Clout in Oil Markets

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The US intervention in Venezuela may further erode OPEC's influence in oil markets, as surging production in the Americas undermines OPEC's efforts to rebalance the market and increase oil prices.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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For the past year, surging oil production from the Americas – led by the United States, Guyana, and Brazil – has been a headache for OPEC in its efforts to rebalance the market and seek higher oil prices. OPEC’s efforts to continue influencing global oil supply and prices could be further undermined by the U.S. intervention in Venezuela and President Donald Trump’s idea to control the oil industry of the world’s biggest crude resource holder. OPEC member Venezuela is estimated to hold 303 billion barrels of…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on January 13, 2026.
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