Venezuela’s Oil Revival Won’t Come From Regime Change

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The article discusses the potential of Venezuela's oil revival, suggesting that it won't be driven by regime change, but rather by the country's own oil reserves and potential.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

Sentiment
Neutral
AI Confidence
80%
Time Horizon
Short Term

Article Context

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The online debate continues to rage over the merits and demerits of the U.S.’s audacious capture of Nicolás Maduro. Narratives around international law and geopolitical ramifications are relevant, but Venezuela’s oil potential now dominates. I have written that the ‘war for oil’ narrative is a mirage. Just as there are many competing interests in the Trump administration, there are myriad motives for Maduro’s removal – be they fair or foul. While Venezuela’s proven reserves are formidable, the expert…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on January 8, 2026.
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