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Fasten your seat belt for a 'volatile' 2026, market strategist says
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A market strategist predicts a 'volatile' 2026 due to the upcoming national mid-term elections, but notes that historically, the S&P 500 has seen significant gains after the elections.
Market Impact
Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 63% confidence.
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Neutral
AI Confidence
63%
Article Context
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STORY: Americans will go to the polls on November 4, 2026 for national mid-term elections."On average, we see 3.8% growth for the S&P 500 going back to World War II in these midterm election years, and only a 55% frequency of advance," he explained. "And not only do we get low returns, but the volatility has been very high, with an average intra-year drawdown of 18%."Still, there is light at the end of the tunnel, Stovall said. "Once the elections have run their course, investors breathe a sigh of relief and sort of pile back into stocks," he explained.Stovall noted that, historically, "from October 31 of the midterm election year through October 31 of the year after, the S&P gained an average of 16% and was higher 100% of the time."
Original article published by
Unknown
on December 22, 2025.
Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.
Analysis and insights provided by AnalystMarkets AI.