The Most Boring Oil Month in Years Sets the Stage for a High-Stakes December

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The oil market is entering December with low expectations and oversupply concerns, leading to a revised 2026 price forecast of $62 per barrel, a $10 decrease from initial predictions.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 75% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
75%

Article Context

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After a month where every geopolitical bet fizzled, the oil market enters December searching for its next catalyst. 2026 Forecasts Slide to $62 as Oversupply Clouds Outlook - The oil markets are increasingly forming a consensus view on 2026 prices, with a Reuters survey of analysts and economists yielding a $62 per barrel average for next year, a whopping $10 per barrel lower than their initial 2026 predictions.- The IEA’s expectations of a 4.2 million b/d oversupply is the most extreme outlook, perhaps overtly biased; however, even the most…

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Original article published by OilPrice.com on December 2, 2025.
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