Private Credit’s Marks Get Warning Shot From Top DOJ Cop

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Private credit market is expected to face rising defaults in 2024, with a growing number of middle-market firms experiencing stress, despite Invesco's positive outlook on the sector.

Market Impact

Market impact analysis based on bearish sentiment with 73% confidence.

Sentiment
Bearish
AI Confidence
73%

Article Context

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Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist Brian Levitt explains why he thinks private credit remains attractive amid stable inflation and easing policy. Defaults are poised to rise across the $1.7 trillion private credit market next year as a growing number of middle-market firms are experiencing stress, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency. A record 61 borrowers with private debt have a rating of CCC-, KBRA said in a report on Tuesday, which analyzed more than 2,200 middle-market companies backed by private equity in the 12 months through September. The firm tacks on that label for borrowers “facing severe operational or liquidity challenges.” The rising share of firms falling into the CCC- cohort is “a clear signal that pressure is building in certain segments of the direct lending market,” KBRA said in its report. The companies in this group collectively held a record 1.4% of the more than $1 trillion of debt assessed by KBRA. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Original article published by Bloomberg on December 1, 2025.
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