ECB Likely to Hike Rates in 2027, BNP Paribas Says

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BNP Paribas Markets 360 expects the European Central Bank to hike interest rates in 2027, citing a positive current interest rate environment and potential upside in European growth, particularly in Germany.

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Market impact analysis based on bullish sentiment with 75% confidence.

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Bullish
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75%

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Sam Lynton-Brown from BNP Paribas Markets 360 says European Central Bank interest rates are "in a good place right now," but expects the next ECB move to be an increase rather than a cut. "The hike isn't going to come quickly, we think it's a 2027 story," Lynton-Brown tells Bloomberg Television. He adds European growth in 2026 "can surprise materially on the upside," driven in particular by German fiscal expectations. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Original article published by Bloomberg on December 1, 2025.
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