Iraq Heads to the Polls Amid Political Fatigue and Regional Tensions

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Iraq is heading to parliamentary elections with low predicted turnout, potentially complicating the formation of a new government, amidst regional tensions and changes in key political players.

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Market impact analysis based on neutral sentiment with 80% confidence.

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Neutral
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80%

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Iraqis head to the polls on November 11 for parliamentary elections, however, surveys predict record-low turnout, which may complicate creation of a government. This election differs from those before: Muqtada al-Sadr has withdrawn from politics; Hadi al-Ameri’s Badr Organization is contesting the vote independently; and Hezbollah — Iran’s ally in Lebanon — is weakened. Though regional unrest persists, Iraq itself is comparatively stable. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani’s tenure was quieter than his predecessors’,…

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